JanWiersma.com

Lower software dev cost? No!

The software development landscape is on the cusp of a revolution. Large Language Models (LLMs) promise to streamline workflows, automate repetitive tasks, and even generate code. This translates to exciting possibilities: cheaper development and faster time-to- market, as seen in the recent advancements showcased at Microsoft Build 2024’s keynote this week. GitHub Copilot and Copilot Workspace are prime examples of how LLMs are being leveraged to empower developers.

But here’s the Jevons Paradox lurking in the shadows, and its impact might be even more significant with LLMs. Remember the paradox? As coal became cheaper and more abundant, its use skyrocketed, ultimately leading to a greater (not smaller!) energy demand.

Imagine applying this to software. With LLMs lowering the barrier to entry, custom solutions become not just possible, but expected. Think niche functionalities tailored to individual workflows, features that were previously cost-prohibitive.

Jevons on Steroids: Here’s where LLMs amplify the effect. Because LLMs can adapt and learn at an incredible pace, user expectations will likely accelerate. They’ll not only demand custom solutions, but also expect them to evolve rapidly alongside their changing needs.

The Challenge: Keeping Up with a Moving Target

* Customers demanding more: Lower costs will fuel the fire for rapidly adaptable features, including options for niche functionalities specific to individual workflows.
* The pressure to keep up: This surge in demand will necessitate continuous investment in LLM training data, development tools, and most importantly, upskilling our workforce. Developers will need to learn to effectively utilize and guide LLMs to meet these ever-evolving needs. Stagnation means losing customers to competitors who can adapt faster.

LLMs will undoubtedly make development more efficient. And it will be cheaper as directly compared to the current speed of execution and customer expectations. But the key takeaway is this: the cost savings won’t be a one-time win. To thrive in this new paradigm, we need to embrace a culture of continuous improvement and invest in keeping our LLM-powered development tools on the cutting edge, alongside a skilled workforce ready to leverage their power.

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The Decentralized Web: Reclaiming Our Power

Remember the Wild West days of the internet? Unfettered innovation, boundless potential, and a sense of control over your online experience. Today, it feels increasingly like a battleground. Governments tighten their grip with regulations, while corporations gobble up our data and influence every click. This is the future the book ‘The Sovereign Individual’ warned about – a future where individuals have little control over their digital lives. But it doesn’t have to be this way.

The Decentralized Web: Reclaiming Our Power

There’s a growing movement advocating for a fundamental shift: a decentralized web powered by cutting-edge technologies. This isn’t just about technology; it’s about reclaiming power and building a future YOU control.

Technical Innovation Leading the Charge:
*Nostr: Imagine a social media platform where no single entity dictates the rules. Nostr, built on a censorship-resistant protocol, empowers you to own your data and experiences.
*Web5: This next-generation web leverages blockchain technology, giving you greater ownership over your data and online interactions, aligning perfectly with Self-Sovereign Identity (SSI) principles. With SSI, you control your digital identity, deciding who can access your information.
*AI: Decentralized AI systems can analyze data on a distributed network, enhancing security, transparency, and user experience without compromising individual privacy.
*Cryptography: Protocols like Nostr utilize cryptography to ensure secure communication and data ownership, making it harder for entities to exploit your personal information.
*Blockchain: This foundational technology underpins many decentralized solutions, providing a secure and transparent way to store and manage data.

Why Decentralization Matters:
*Empowering Individuals: A decentralized web puts you in the driver’s seat. You control your data, choose who can access it, and have a say in how online platforms operate.
*Reduced Centralized Control: Decentralization weakens the grip of powerful entities, fostering a more equitable digital landscape where innovation and competition thrive.
*Enhanced Privacy: Decentralized systems make it harder for governments and corporations to collect and exploit your personal information.

The Road Ahead: Shaping Our Digital Future

Building a truly decentralized web won’t be easy, but the potential benefits are immense. We have the technology; now we need the action. Let’s embrace these innovations and build a future where the internet empowers individuals, not corporations or governments. This is the future we should aim for, a future where Self-Sovereign Identity and decentralized technologies are the norm.

One may think this is all just about technology, but it isn’t – it’s about the kind of future we want to create. What kind of digital world do you envision for yourself and your loved ones?

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